Posts Tagged ‘scoop 6 tips’

It seems there is some confusion over the Scoop 6 races for this week since the Racing Post website disaster.

Here are the races that make up tomorrow’s Scoop 6;

Leg 1 Sandown 1.25pm
Leg 2 Sandown 2.00pm
Leg 3 Wetherby 2.50pm
Leg 4 Sandown 3.05pm
Leg 5 Wetherby 3.20pm
Leg 6 Sandown 3.35pm

You can get tips on tomorrow’s Scoop 6 from our horse racing forum.

Our Scoop 6 guide can help you solve the puzzle of finding the six winners!

I thought last week’s Scoop 6 was the biggest we would see for quite some time but yet again, it wasn’t won. Let’s hope it’s a single line or small syndicate that’s successful rather than someone who’s already a millionaire.

Like last week, I’m going to try and select a shortlist for each race and then a final selection. It’s a bit disappointing there are so many race from the all weather card at Lingfield. A number of the horses contesting these races have seen a lot of action the last few months and the form can be erratic.

Race 1 – 2.10 Lingfield
An extremely tough handicap to get us underway with a few possible improvers going up against proven all weather performers.

Gay Kelleway’s Fajr is a much better horse on the all weather than he is on turf and 7 of his 8 wins have come here at Lingfield but only 1 of those victories was over this trip, the other 6 were over a mile. The last of those wins was in this grade off a 1lbs higher mark so he would have to enter calculations, I just feel he’s badly handicapped against some of these rivals.

Swift Gift is interesting for Martin Dwyer and Brian Meehan. He’s been contesting some decent 3yo handicaps on the turf and his 3 ½ length 4th place finish behind Plum Pudding at Newmarket last month reads well.

Atlantic Story has two wins over course and distance to his name but they were both under Jamie Spencer who instead rides Madahee for Clive Brittain. Both these runners are trying to win from career high marks but of the two, Madahee is the one I would side with as a 3yo even though he is up 10lbs for his impressive win at Great Leighs earlier this month.

My Gacho doesn’t quite look up to this grade and Ebraam is badly handicapped although both horses have been running well and could be placed again.

If playing a perm, it may pay to put in one runner that is proven in the grade and on the all weather surface, as well as one of the younger improving horses.

Shortlist: Madahee, Swift Gift, Fajr.

Selection: Swift Gift

Race 2 – 2.40 Lingfield
It doesn’t get any easier with another race where you could make a case for the majority of the field.

Secret Night is only 1lb higher than when winning a similar event over course and distance. She has seen a lot of racing since though and that would put me off her chances slightly.

Miss Brown To You got off the mark at Great Leighs last time in a muddling race, beating a few of these rivals in the process. This lightly raced filly is open to improvement and hails from a stable that is hard to ignore in this type of event.

Spring Goddess was 2nd behind Miss Brown To You in that event and shouldn’t be far away again on these terms.

Shortlist: Secret Night, Miss Brown To You, Spring Goddess.

Selection: Miss Brown To You

Race 3 – 2.45 Haydock
There’s a decent prize on offer to the winner of this Class 2 handicap where 16 runners go to post.

The top horse Darkness is a particularly interesting contender. He’s been off the track for 945 days and it would be some training performance to have him ready to win a race like this but his previous chase form would give him a massive chance off a mark of 142.

I always take note of anything Venetia Williams sends into battle in these types of races but Mon Mome seems to perform better with a run under his belt.

Osako D’airy from the Paul Nicholls yard is bound to be a popular choice for casual punters. For me, his form doesn’t look special enough to warrant his place at the head of the market. I often oppose these Nicholls favourites in handicaps as I did last week with Silverburn. They do win sometimes but they also get over bet and go off at more prohibitive odds than they should.

I struggle to get a handle on runners from the Henrietta Knight stable and Glasker Mill is another I can’t make head nor tail of. He’s still fairly unexposed over fences and after a shaky start to his chasing career with two falls, he picked up a decent price at Cheltenham last November. He could strip a lot fitter off the back of his run at Cheltenham last month and is the only runner in the field with a win to his name at the track, albeit over hurdles.

Philip Hobbs runners performed quite well in the big races last weekend and I think Gold Medallist could do the same here. He was a very good performer on the flat and may well come into his own over fences this season. He contested some decent Novice Chases last year and doesn’t look badly handicapped to these eyes.

Shortlist: Darkness, Glasker Mill, Gold Medallist.

Selection: Gold Medallist.

Race 4 – 3.20 Lingfield
A very competitive Listed race sees Royal Hunt Cup winner Mr Aviator go up against John Gosden’s lightly raced Bronze Cannon.

I’m really having a tough time narrowing down the field here. Baharah and Harvest Queen are closely matched on their race over a mile here last month. At least we know both are in decent form and there is no reason why these fillies won’t run well here again.

The horse that stands out for me is Michael Jarvis’ Philatelist. He has been off the track a while but coming here fresh might not be a bad thing. He is a course and distance winner and has the beating of Mr Aviator going by their meeting at Kempton in March.

Clive Brittain’s Yahrab is 2 from 2 on the all weather over this trip and has the assistance of Jamie Spencer in the plate. He’s still relatively lightly raced and could well prove a threat stepping back into Listed company.

Shortlist: Harvest Queen, Yahrab, Philatelist.

Selection: Philatelist.

Race 5 – 3.30 Huntingdon
The worst of the six races in terms of quality and probably the toughest to get enthusiastic about any of the participants.

The tissue favourite is Tim Vaughan’s House Of Bourbon. This horse was with Charlie Swan in Ireland and did have some reasonable form over there but it’s hard to know what it amounts to exactly but it’s probably as good as anything else in the field.

Lowe Go and Domenico have both won off higher marks in the past but are both also average and on the downgrade.

Acosta had looked very average until winning easily last time out at 20/1. He’s been put up 12lbs for that win and it’s hard to see him following up.

Millards Lad looks well in on his chase form but he’s never produced the same level of form over hurdles. Even so, I’d say he has a level of ability above anything else in this field.

Pearly Star knows how to win but is probably a little high in the weights.

Charlie Mann’s Rebel Melody is the only other one I could seriously consider. This course and distance winner is lightly raced for a 7yo and comes back to hurdling after a couple of disappointing chase efforts.

Shortlist: House Of Bourbon, Millards Lad, Rebel Melody.

Selection: Rebel Melody.

Race 6 – 3.50 Lingfield
A nice little six furlong race to finish and one where I think the ultra consistent Ceremonial Jade will be tough to beat. His record at Lingfield is superb with 3 wins, 3 2nds and a 3rd from 8 runs. His record over 6 furlongs reads 3 wins and 2 2nds from 6 runs.

Chief Editor is likely to give Ceremonial Jade something to think about if taking to the polytrack. He did win at Southwell on his racecourse debut.

Bonus ran a stinker during the week but I wouldn’t not be surprised if he bounced back with Hayley Turner back in the saddle.

John Gosden’s Prohibit contested some very decent races during the summer and he scored in decent fashion at Great Leighs last time. He merits serious consideration.

Shortlist: Ceremonial Jade, Chief Editor, Prohibit.

Selection: Ceremonial Jade.

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The win fund for last weeks Scoop 6 stood at a massive £2,037,527 and although no favourite won any of the 6 races, there was no huge shock either. With the number of big syndicates that normally get involved when the pool reaches anything like that size, I’m very surprised none of them managed to land the big prize.

The biggest priced winner of the day was Sunnyhillboy at 14/1 in the finale. This horse had won 2 of his 4 starts to date so wasn’t really that hard to find. Obviously it’s easy in hindsight but I thought it would be good to look at each winner from last week and see if it can give us the right mindset for picking all 6 this coming week!

Race 1 – Joe Lively won 4/1
I personally didn’t fancy Joe Lively an awful lot and his form figures prior to the race read 32465. Prior to this though he’d had managed 111211. A few of the races he contested were small uncompetitive fields but he’s still performed consistently well the early part of last season and he had won twice previously at Cheltenham.

Verdict – Not hard to find, consistent and had course form.

Race 2 – Imperial Commander won 13/2
This horse was well backed and well fancied by the stable. What put me off slightly was the fact he’d only had 4 starts over fences although 3 of them were wins over course and distance. Imperial Commander’s form figures read 1411 over fences. I managed to find the 2nd and 3rd but I missed the winner looking for a bigger priced selection. If I’m honest this was foolish considering the winner of the Paddy Power normally comes from the first 4 in the betting.

Verdict – Again fairly easy to select, 3 time course and distance winner, well weighted, stable in form.

Race 3 – Ice Tea won 8/1
I hated the look of this and it certainly wouldn’t have been a race I would have had a bet in. Ice Tea had been struggling in handicap chases and although he’d dropped down the weights slightly he was still reasonably hard to find.His form figues going into the race were 4 5 P/U P/U F. The only couple of positives were his only run at Wetherby previously was a good one albeit over hurdles, and the fact Brian Harding was taking over in the plate. He gave Ice Tea a superb ride here.

Verdict – Probably 4th or 5th choice for me, inconsistent in recent times but did have a good effort at the track from one attempt.

Race 4 – Fair Along won 10/1
I gave Fair Along a massive chance. He ended up being my 2nd choice behind Copsale Lad but it was a toss up between the two. The 10/1 SP was huge, I had him in at about 5/1. I thought the step up in trip was what this horse was crying out for and he had a lot of decent runs behind him at Cheltenham.

Verdict – The easiest winner to select from the 4 races so far for me, good course form, decent apprentice on board claiming 7lbs and suited by the step up in trip.

Race 5 – European Dream won 11/2
Another race I wouldn’t have been betting in under normal circumstances. I went with the favourite Knockavilla who fell at the 4th hurdle. European Dream had been contesting a lot better races than this but I just felt he might find one or two of these improve past him, that wasn’t the case. He had won at Wetherby previously and his stable were coming into form.

Verdict – Wasn’t for me personally but was near the head of the betting and a previous course winner.

Race 6 – Sunnyhillboy won 14/1
This Novices Handicap Hurdle was a tough race to solve with 19 runners going to post. My main selection Hernando Royal was very well backed and finished 4th at 5/1. The fancied horses from the bigger stables were largely disappointing and David Pipe’s Qanta De Thaix was subject of some very strange betting patterns. Sunnyhillboy’s connections had won this race the previous year but Jonjo O´Neill hasn’t been in exactly sparkling form. The horse did win a reasonable 15 runner event at Exeter last time and was open to plenty of improvement but so were a number of others in the field.

Verdict – You could have found the winner but it was a wide open race and there were others that made more appeal on paper. Probably the toughest of the 6 winners to select.

Conclusion
The main thing that jumps out at me is the fact all the winners bar the last had previous solid course form. As a general rule, Jumps racing is less competitive than the flat so unlike when the big flat handicaps make up part of the Scoop 6 during the summer, we are less likely to see 33/1 and 50/1 shots wipe out the majority of tickets.

This weeks Scoop 6 will probably be made up of racing from Haydock and Huntingdon so it might pay to look for horses with previous course form, consistent jumpers and nothing at ridiculous prices unlike me last week!

Totesport are offering 5% cashback on the Scoop 6 during November. They also give new clients a £25 free bet. Take advantage of these offers here.

I was really looking forward to going through the Scoop 6 races until I saw them. There is possibly 1 out of the 6 races where I have a reasonably strong fancy, but most of them look like absolute minefields. Let’s see what we can come up with in the quest to become a millionaire this Saturday afternoon.

Race 1 – 2.00 Cheltenham
There are some of my least favourite jump horses in training in this field. Joe Lively ran some good races at the start of last season but then seemed to lose the plot and look distinctly average. He has at least won a couple of races here and you’d imagine he’d come on for the run behind Parson’s Legacy, who re-opposes today on 6lbs worse terms. It should be reasonably close between those 2.

Halcon Genelardis is the class horse in the race but for that reason he’s got the burden of 11st 12lb on his back. He’s vulnerable giving that sort of weight to the field. You can’t knock Comply Or Die but I think I’d want to see him run this season before backing him again. Some horses are never quite the same after the rigours of the Grand National.

Simon would have a cracking chance but he’s started to be consistently inconsistent. He fell in the National and like Comply Or Die I’d prefer to see what his attitude is like after that race but I think he’ll put up a good show if he negotiates the fences OK.

Although Beat The Boys is out the handicap, he could go well with just 10st on his back. He looked impressive last time when winning at Cheltenham, beating Joe Lively in the process, but I think it probably looked better than it actually was.

Dom D’Orgeval and Karanja both have something to prove for me would both need to run the race of their lives to win this.

The one I keep coming back to is Venetia William’s Flintoff. He is inconsistent but ran a good race from out of the handicap in the Scottish National. She certainly knows how to get her horses ready first time out and her stable is in good form at the minute.

You oppose Paul Nicholls at your peril and you can make excuses for his last two runs but Opera Mundi’s form figures just don’t inspire me with enough confidence to back him. It was a good prize he won at Haydock but I just don’t feel the horses there were anything like 2 or 3 of the opposition today.

There are no strong trends here at all.

Shortlist: Halcon Genelardis, Simon and Flintoff.

Selection: Simon

Race 2 – 2.35 Cheltenham
I’ve been looking forward to this race for a while and it’s one of my favourite races of the jumps season, probably a race I’ve managed to back the winner in more times than any other. I’m not sure whether it’s as much through luck as judgement though.

Personally, I think you have to take on Silverburn. He’s going to be a banker for a lot of casual punters on the back of Paul Nicholls bullish comments. While I really respect him as a trainer, I’ve heard him talk up his horses before and them not live up to the hype. The ones that are special he tends to be more cautious about. Remember before Denman destroyed the rest of the field in the Hennessy? He was very downbeat about his chances before the race. Silverburn’s form doesn’t amount to anything out the ordinary for me. I know he’s had his wind op and I know he’s open to a lot of improvement but 7/2 is far too short as far as I’m concerned.

Going through the race from top to bottom I knocked out a lot of them quite quickly and am left with Ouzbeck, Stan, Vodka Bleu, Barbers Shop, Fleet Street and Private Be.

On their last encounter here last month and for the fact that Private Be could well have needed the run after his op, I’d fancy him to get the better of Ouzbeck today on revised terms.

Vodka Bleu looks over priced and the stable command plenty of respect in this race but it’s hard to see him winning off this mark.

Stan is another who is more likely to place than actually win but he did run a cracker at Ascot at the start of the month.

The two Henderson horses probably make most appeal. I rate Barry Geraghty above any other jump jockey and his ride Barbers Shop would have a great chance on his run behind a horse Barry rode to victory at the Festival, Finger Onthe Pulse. For some reason though, Fleet Street is jumping out at me. The stable won with a 2nd string in Sentry Duty at Ascot at the start of the month also ridden by Andrew Tinkler. The horse’s form isn’t spectacular but his two runs here have both been very good, one behind Brave Inca over hurdles and the other was in the race at Festival behind Finger Onthe Pulse and stable mate Barbers Shop. He wasn’t far away that day and should finish quite close to Barbers Shop again on these terms. He’s no 25/1 shot imo.

Shortlist: Barbers Shop, Fleet Street and Private Be.

Selection: Fleet Street.

Race 3 – 2.55 Wetherby
It’s hard to get as enthusiastic about this race as I have about the previous two but the winner still needs to be found. The one that immediately jumped out at me was Laertes. He should come on for the run at Carlisle and has the cheekpieces back on which should help. The jockey takes a useful 7lbs of his back, he’s won here in the past and this small stable have had a couple of winners in the last two weeks.

I’d imagine top weight Leading Man will need the run and Ice Tea hasn’t really made his mark in handicap company.

Rackalackey’s stable are in good form so he can’t be dismissed lightly and if Shrewd Investor can manage to complete, he could go better than his odds suggest.

Shortlist: Rackalackey and Laertes.

Selection: Laertes.

Race 4 – 3.10 Cheltenham
This is another race where I think two horses at big prices can go well. Copsale Lad is an old favourite of mine. He’s never really lived up to his potential and he is 11 years old now but I still think he’s capable on his day. It would need to be a career best from a handicap point of view but I still don’t think he’s badly handicapped, he just doesn’t win as often as he should.

The dark horse in the field is Carl Llewellyn’s Best Actor. He’s an unknown quantity and has been off the track an awful long time but he’s the type of horse Llewellyn does well with and he’s also gone well fresh in the past. He’s very lightly raced and could well shake up those at the front of the market.

Of the rest, Fair Along could well be suited by the step up in trip. He’s a bit of an enigma but his talent is unquestionable. He often throws in some weird runs but he has stayed on really well in the past when looking beat early on. This step up in trip could see him defy the high handicap mark.

Shortlist: Fair Along, Best Actor and Copsale Lad.

Selection: Copsale Lad.

Race 5 – 3.25 Wetherby
I backed Pay Attention last time out when she fell but she probably needed that outing and she is back over hurdles off a competitive mark.

Smoothly Does It is 2 from 2 here and can’t be dismissed lightly but is possibly too high in the handicap to win.

The one lurking towards the bottom of the handicap is the Howard Johnson trained Knockavilla. This course and distance winner could be absolutely anything and the stable are just coming into form.

Shortlist: Pay Attention, Smoothly Does It and Knockavilla.

Selection: Knockavilla.

Race 6 – 3.45 Cheltenham
Anyone still going by this point is going to be bricking it and the fact that this race is so open isn’t going to make them feel any better.

I didn’t really fancy Busker Royal at Ascot but he was well backed and gave a solid if unspectacular performance to win by half a length. He looks worth taking on here with top weight.

The more I get stuck into this race the more horrible it looks but I think the one to be with is Graham Lee’s mount Hernando Royal. His 2nd to American Trilogy at Aintree looks good form and his mark of 116 doesn’t look unreasonable.

Salute Him is hard to assess as all runners from the Martin stable usually are. He could win easily or he could drift out to double figures and run a shocker, there is no way of knowing.

Shortlist: Keki Buku, Weather Front and Hernando Royal.

Selection: Hernando Royal.

Scoop 6 Cashback
Skybet and BlueSq are giving 10% cashback on all Scoop 6 bets.

Day 2 of the Cheltenham Open meeting features the Paddy Power Gold Cup and we are also looking at one of the biggest Scoop 6 payouts ever.

Saturday’s action comes from Cheltenham, Great Leighs, Punchestown, Uttoxeter and an evening meeting from Wolverhampton.

There are six live races on Channel 4. They are as follows; 2.00, 2.35, 3.10 and 3.45 from Cheltenham and the 2.55 and 3.25 from Wetherby.

If you back the winner of a live Channel 4 race at 4/1 or bigger, Bet365 will give you a free bet of up to £50 on the following Channel 4 race. This is a great offer for all you Saturday armchair punters.

The big race of the day is Cheltenham’s 2.35 the Paddy Power Gold Cup. Paul Nicholls’ Silverburn heads the betting at 3/1. He showed good form in novice chases last season culminating in a 4th placed finish in the Royal & SunAlliance Chase at the Cheltenham Festival.

Nicky Henderson’s Barbers Shop could prove tough opposition however. His stable is firing on all cylinders and Barbers Shop was one of the top novice chasers last season. He’s open to any amount of improvement and at 7/1 could really give Silverburn something to think about.

£2m Scoop 6
The Scoop 6 is predicted to hit the £2m mark this week. Check out our Scoop 6 Guide and Scoop 6 Tips to help you on your way to the jackpot!

The Scoop 6 races are as follows;
2.00 Cheltenham
2.35 Cheltenham
2.55 Wetherby
3.10 Cheltenham
3.25 Wetherby
3.45 Cheltenham

You can normally get 10% cashback on your Scoop 6 bets with both Skybet and BlueSq. Both bookmakers also offer new clients a free bet.

Weekend Bookmaker Offers
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If your selection FALLS, VCbet will refund your losing stake as a free bet on the following day’s racing!

Sportingbet
This weekend we’re going the whole hog and refunding fallers on all Channel 4 races at Cheltenham’s Open meeting between Friday and Sunday.

Be sure to visit our horse racing tips forum for all the hottest tips on the weekends action.

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Mabbs

The Scoop 6 races for this Saturday’s massive predicted £2m pot have been revealed early. They are as follows;

Leg 1 - 2.00 Cheltenham
Leg 2 - 2.35 Cheltenham
Leg 3 - 2.55 Wetherby
Leg 4 - 3.10 Cheltenham
Leg 5 - 3.25 Wetherby
Leg 6 - 3.45 Cheltenham

This gives us an extra day to get cracking on winning a life changing amount of Scoop 6 cash.

There will be Scoop 6 tips here on the blog as well as on our horse racing tips forum from tomorrow.

Don’t pick all the favourites – Not every favourite is going to win or even get placed for that matter. If by some miracle they do all win, the Scoop 6 dividend will be next to nothing because you will be sharing it with so many others.

Consider a perm – A Scoop 6 perm can really increase your chances of landing the jackpot. If you can’t decide between two horses in a particular race, by doing a perm you can include them both. This can get expensive if you start picking two or more selections in each race, but if it’s just one or two races that are giving you a headache this is as good as a Nurofen!

Go against the crowd – The Scoop 6 includes the races that are live on TV, usually the biggest and most competitive race of the day. Pricewise in the Racing Post normally selects his best bet of the day from these races as do most of the tipsters in the press. These selections are followed by the masses so if you go against them, you increase your chances of a big win.

Look for trainers in form – You don’t often get a Scoop 6 being won without a few big priced winners but how do you find them? One way is to look for trainers that are in form. Their horses can perform above market expectations.

Form a syndicate – As we mentioned earlier, a Scoop 6 perm can really increase your chances of a win but the cost does mount up with the £2 minimum stake. If you select 2 runners in each of the 6 races it costs £128. Why not get together with some friends and split the cost between you? It’s more fun than the lottery and you always have a chance of the place dividend which can also pay handsomely.

Claim some cashback – Certain online bookmakers offer 10% cashback on Scoop 6 bets especially on the weeks there is a big pot to play for. Recently, Skybet have been running this offer on a weekly basis but BlueSq and Bet365 also run this promotion from time to time. If you are placing a perm every week this can soon add up to a lot of money and also gives you one free Scoop 6 week in ten.

Place your bet with Skybet here – Bet £5 get £20 of free bets AND get 10% back on your Scoop 6 bets.

Go for a last leg banker – If you’re still on course for a win or place payout come the 6th leg of your Scoop 6 bet, you can lay off your selection on the betting exchange Betfair. If you have just one selection in the last leg and the price isn’t too big, it makes the process a lot easier.

Throw logic out the window – Maybe you’re not a racing expert and you just want a bit of fun on a Saturday afternoon. If this is the case then go for whatever takes your fancy – colours, names or even numbers. For just £2 and with no horse racing knowledge, you could be thousands of £’s richer. The most famous Scoop 6 winner, Agnes Haddock, picked her Bonus horse because it was number 13 and she was born on the 13th. She scooped a total of £688,620 from her £2 Scoop 6 bet.

Beware non runners – Something important you need to keep in mind with the Scoop 6 is that if your selection is a non runner, it’s automatically replaced with the favourite. This can be very annoying if it’s a favourite you have chosen to oppose and it ends up finishing nearer last than first. Make sure you check the non runners before placing your bet.

Look for consistent placers – Another approach with the Scoop 6 is to attack it like a Placepot. Find six horses that get placed in your six races and you’ll receive the place dividend. This can vary but often pays between £500 and £1000 and is a much more realistic target than finding six winners.

Scoop 6 Resources
Scoop 6 Guide - Check out our Scoop 6 Guide for more tips and advice on how to play this popular bet.

Scoop 6 Cashback - Get 10% cashback on your Scoop 6 bet from Skybet.