John Smiths Northumberland Plate
Wednesday, June 24th, 2009The Northumberland Plate, as known as the Pitmen’s Derby, is one of the world’s richest two mile handicaps. It takes place at Newcastle Racecourse at the end of June. It’s a race that can often through up a surprise with only 2 winning favourites in the last 10 years, one of which was a joint favourite. Runners carrying over 9st tend to struggle, with only one winner in the last 12 years. The race is run over a trip of 2 miles and is open to horses aged 3 years and above.
Betting for the 2009 renewal of the Northumberland Plate is headed by Royal Ascot winner Judgethemoment who is a general 7/1 chance. Last year’s winner Arc Bleu is also strongly fancied and sits just behind the market leader at 8/1. Trainer Tony Martin has Jamie Spencer in the saddle this time, last year Adrian Nicholls rode the horse to victory.
Henry Cecil is keen on the chances of his runner Ajaan as long as the ground isn’t on the fast side. He finished 2nd in the Chester Cup last time and holds strong claims if the going comes right.
Northumberland Plate Trends
7 of the last 10 winners came from a single figure draw.
7 of the last 10 winners achieved a top 3 finish on their latest start.
9 of the last 10 winners had raced within the last 38 days.
7 of the last 10 winners had previously won over at least 1m6f.
Northumberland Plate Betting
Judgethemoment 7/1
Arc Bleu 8/1
Ajaan 8/1
Record Breaker 8/1
Hendersyde 10/1
Keenes Day 10/1
Wells Lyrical 10/1
12/1 Bar
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